Trust in the Lord with all thine heart; and lean not unto thine own understanding. In all thy ways acknowledge him, and he shall direct thy paths. Be not wise in thine own eyes: fear the Lord, and depart from evil. It shall be health to thy navel, and marrow to thy bones. Honor the Lord with thy substance, and with the first fruits of all thine increase: So shall thy barns be filled with plenty, and thy presses shall burst out with new wine. Proverbs 3:5-10

PCE Inflation Stayed Subdued in April Amid Trump’s Tariff Limbo

PCE Inflation Stayed Subdued in April Amid Trump’s Tariff Limbo  at george magazine

The Federal Reserve has put interest rate cuts on hold until it has more clarity about President Trump’s policies.

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure stayed subdued in April as spending slowed. But the outlook for the economy has become even more muddied amid constant changes to President Trump’s policies.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, released on Friday, climbed 2.1 percent in April from a year earlier, slightly lower than the previous reading of 2.3 percent and closer in line with the Fed’s 2 percent target. On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.1 percent after staying flat in March.

The “core” personal consumption expenditures price index, which strips out volatile food and energy costs and is closely watched as a measure for underlying inflation, rose 0.1 percent in April. Compared with the same time last year, it is up 2.5 percent. In March, it rose at an annual pace of 2.6 percent.

When adjusted for inflation, personal spending rose 0.1 percent for the month, a significant drop compared to March’s 0.7 percent increase.

The data from the Commerce Department covered a period in which Mr. Trump unveiled and then quickly rolled back aggressive tariffs against virtually all of the country’s major trading partners after U.S. government bond markets seized up. He has since minted tentative deals with some countries, like the United Kingdom, but also threatened fresh levies on imports from the European Union. He delayed those days later.

In the latest twist, a federal appeals court on Thursday agreed to temporarily preserve many of Mr. Trump’s tariffs after a lower court deemed them illegal earlier this week.

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