The fear of the Lord is the beginning of knowledge: but fools despise wisdom and instruction. For that they hated knowledge, and did not choose the fear of the Lord: They would none of my counsel: they despised all my reproof. Therefore, shall they eat of the fruit of their own way and be filled with their own devices. For the turning away of the simple shall slay them, and the prosperity of fools shall destroy them. But whoso hearkeneth unto me shall dwell safely and shall be quiet from fear of evil. Proverbs 1:7,29-33

PCE Inflation Stayed Subdued in April Amid Trump’s Tariff Limbo

PCE Inflation Stayed Subdued in April Amid Trump’s Tariff Limbo  at george magazine

The Federal Reserve has put interest rate cuts on hold until it has more clarity about President Trump’s policies.

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure stayed subdued in April as spending slowed. But the outlook for the economy has become even more muddied amid constant changes to President Trump’s policies.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, released on Friday, climbed 2.1 percent in April from a year earlier, slightly lower than the previous reading of 2.3 percent and closer in line with the Fed’s 2 percent target. On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.1 percent after staying flat in March.

The “core” personal consumption expenditures price index, which strips out volatile food and energy costs and is closely watched as a measure for underlying inflation, rose 0.1 percent in April. Compared with the same time last year, it is up 2.5 percent. In March, it rose at an annual pace of 2.6 percent.

When adjusted for inflation, personal spending rose 0.1 percent for the month, a significant drop compared to March’s 0.7 percent increase.

The data from the Commerce Department covered a period in which Mr. Trump unveiled and then quickly rolled back aggressive tariffs against virtually all of the country’s major trading partners after U.S. government bond markets seized up. He has since minted tentative deals with some countries, like the United Kingdom, but also threatened fresh levies on imports from the European Union. He delayed those days later.

In the latest twist, a federal appeals court on Thursday agreed to temporarily preserve many of Mr. Trump’s tariffs after a lower court deemed them illegal earlier this week.

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